South Carolina’s Gen Z Surge – What’s Driving It?

Students gathered outside a school building entrance
Photo: Paolo Bona / Shutterstock

Young adults are redrawing the country’s talent map with their feet; in 2024, South Carolina emerged as the biggest interstate magnet for 18- to 27-year-olds, a concrete data point in a larger Sun Belt shift driven by education cycles, metro access, and relative housing costs.

At a Glance

  • South Carolina posted the largest net interstate gain of adult Gen Z in 2024: 22,843 more arrivals than departures
  • The measure is strictly interstate inflow minus outflow, derived from Census Bureau American Community Survey microdata
  • Nearly one in four adult Gen Z Americans moved across state lines in 2024, underscoring a broad generational mobility wave
  • College enrollment is a major component of these moves; not all migrants are workers, and motives vary

What the data actually measure: net interstate Gen Z migration, not a headcount of “new workers”

The strongest fact in this story is straightforward: using the Census Bureau’s 2024 American Community Survey (ACS) one-year microdata, LendingTree identified whether 18- to 27-year-old respondents lived in a different state one year earlier, excluded within-state moves, and calculated net interstate migration as inflow minus outflow. By that measure, an estimated 60,223 Gen Z adults moved into South Carolina in 2024 and 37,380 left, yielding a net gain of 22,843—the largest Gen Z net interstate gain among states that year. South Carolina’s Department of Employment and Workforce independently reproduced the same inflow, outflow, and net figures from the ACS, reinforcing that this is not a one-off interpretation but a replicated calculation based on the same federal survey.

Two clarifications matter for interpreting those numbers with precision. First, the ACS is a large, authoritative survey, not an administrative tally of every address change; the estimate reflects weighted microdata rather than a census of moves. Second, the population in question is adult Gen Z, not employed persons. That distinction matters because a meaningful share of 18- to 27-year-olds are students, and the ACS captures them when and where they live at the time of the survey, regardless of employment status.

How this fits a larger pattern: mobility at the intersection of education, metro access, and affordability

The South Carolina result is part of a national realignment in young-adult migration: nearly one in four adult Gen Z Americans—an estimated 10.7 million of roughly 44.6 million—crossed a state line in 2024. That level of churn is consistent with a life stage that includes college entry, first jobs, and early household formation. It also echoes earlier research on millennials: places that combined education pipelines, opportunity-rich metros, and relatively lower housing costs tended to attract young adults after the Great Recession, with the South and West frequently outperforming older, high-cost labor markets. In other words, the magnetism is multi-factor; cost and opportunity typically work together rather than one substituting for the other.

South Carolina sits within several overlapping geographies that meet these conditions. The state’s Upstate region is integrated with the larger Charlotte and Greenville-Spartanburg metropolitan economies; the Lowcountry is tethered to Charleston’s diversified growth in aerospace, tech-adjacent services, and logistics. These are not uniform labor markets—entry-level wages, industry mix, and housing costs vary by metro and county—but together they offer a combination that has repeatedly drawn young movers in the Sun Belt era.

Students are a large slice of the movers—so interpret “workforce” language carefully

Because public discussion often jumps from “Gen Z migration” to “new workers,” it is essential to parse the composition of the flows. South Carolina’s labor-market publication notes that 44% of the Gen Z cohort were enrolled in school at the time of the ACS, and enrollment is nearly universal among 18-year-olds—93% in that single age. LendingTree likewise incorporated respondents’ current enrollment status when profiling movers. Those facts do not diminish the headline migration figure; they sharpen it. Many new arrivals are students who may transition into the local labor force only after graduation, and some will leave upon completing a degree. Any claim that the net gain of 22,843 equates to an immediate infusion of workers therefore overshoots what the dataset supports.

That said, student-driven inflows can be an antecedent to workforce growth if a region retains graduates. The policy-relevant questions follow naturally: how many of these new arrivals are employed or actively seeking work now; what share are full-time students; which industries and occupations absorb them; and what are one-, two-, and three-year retention rates after program completion. The ACS can begin to answer the first two; longitudinal and administrative linkages are needed for the latter.

Why South Carolina, specifically? The affordability-and-opportunity story is plausible but partial

In public commentary on the 2024 flows, LendingTree’s Matt Schulz attributes Gen Z’s state choices to the search for places where they can live affordably and find decent jobs and opportunity—a concise framing that matches what we see across multiple Sun Belt markets. It is credible as a general explanation, but it is not a causal finding tied to individual movers in the ACS. Within South Carolina, the “proximity to Charlotte with lower housing costs” narrative has intuitive appeal for the northern counties that touch the Charlotte metro, where residents can access a major employment hub while living on the South Carolina side of the line.

Two things keep that story grounded. First, it is consistent with the broader evidence that young adults weigh both job access and relative costs; second, it is clearly identified as an interpretation rather than a quantified commuter flow for Gen Z movers. If we want to know how many 18- to 27-year-old South Carolina residents work at Charlotte-area employers, the appropriate tools are Census LEHD Origin-Destination Employment Statistics and regional commuting data—not the ACS migration question alone. Until then, the affordability-and-opportunity frame is the right high-level lens, and Charlotte adjacency is one plausible mechanism within it.

Implications for employers, universities, and state leaders

For employers, the signal is opportunity with caveats. A large net inflow of young adults expands the reachable early-career talent pool, but the mix includes students and recent graduates on varied timelines. Firms that coordinate with universities on internships and co-ops, recruit across South Carolina’s metro systems, and calibrate compensation to local housing costs will capture more of the inflow as durable employees. For universities, the inflow underscores the importance of admissions pipelines from out of state and the value of retention partnerships that convert graduates into local hires, especially in growth sectors like advanced manufacturing, health services, logistics, and software-adjacent roles.

For state and local leaders, the actionable levers are predictable and proven. Expand attainable housing supply in job-accessible corridors; improve transit and road connectivity within and across metro areas; support campus-to-career bridges that raise retention; and maintain the cost-quality balance that underpins the state’s appeal. Because nearly a quarter of adult Gen Z moved across state lines in a single year, competition for this cohort is structural, not cyclical; policy that treats it as a durable trend will outperform reactive messaging.

What to watch next: from descriptive wins to measurable outcomes

The 2024 migration ledger is a clear win on attraction; the next test is conversion and retention. Three empirical steps would move the conversation from headline to strategy. First, decompose the net inflow into students, employed, unemployed, and not-in-labor-force segments using the ACS and complementary datasets. Second, measure one- to three-year retention of 2024 in-migrants—especially graduates—through longitudinal linkages. Third, quantify the Charlotte mechanism and other cross-metro linkages with LEHD commuting flows. Each step replaces plausible stories with measured results, turning South Carolina’s Gen Z magnetism into a workforce advantage that lasts.

Sources:

zerohedge.com, newsweek.com, foxbusiness.com, redstate.com